Calculator.make({|resident_count, liters_per_day_per_resident, filtered_fraction, home_fraction| liters_per_gallon = 128/33.8 gallons_per_day_per_resident = liters_per_day_per_resident / liters_per_gallon filtered_at_home_gallons_per_day_per_resident = gallons_per_day_per_resident * home_fraction * filtered_fraction filtered_gallons_dispensed_at_home_per_year = resident_count * filtered_at_home_gallons_per_day_per_resident * 365.25 filtered_gallons_dispensed_at_home_per_year }, {
/* Generated by Squiggle AI. Workflow ID: a1c362d8-dd87-4bed-8e91-dfa6b85810db */ import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest import "hub:ozziegooen/helpers" as h // Base inputs and assumptions inputs = { @name("🌍 Global Population") @doc(
oai_now = 350 to 500 ant_now = 250 to 350 gdm_now = 350 to 500 other_us_labs_training_staff = 500 to 700 china_labs_now = 200 to 1000 other_randoms = 200 to 1200 total = oai_now + ant_now + gdm_now + other_us_labs_training_staff + china_labs_now + other_randoms
/* Generated by Squiggle AI. Workflow ID: 0f56af75-62c0-4c91-8d65-3d165bedc7da */ import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest // Cost-Benefit Analysis: Vasectomy Decision Model // This model compares three scenarios: vasectomy with sperm freezing, // vasectomy without freezing, and no vasectomy @name("Input Parameters")
/* Climate Policy vs Innovation Effectiveness Model This model compares the relative effectiveness of domestic policy and innovation on reducing emissions over time, based on historical data and future projections. */ // ==================== INNOVATION PARAMETERS ==================== // ----- Historical Innovation Effects ----- @name("Effect of falling remenewables price (2000-2020) on future emissions")
/* Generated by Squiggle AI. Workflow ID: a63000f5-a328-4a46-924c-142397a9a0b8 */ import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest // Octopus Breeding Program Cost Estimation Model // This model estimates the cost of running an octopus breeding program for intelligence uplifting @name("Program Parameters") @doc("Key parameters for the octopus breeding program")
calendar_time = 3/12 to 3 // years sandworm_headcount = 10 to 50 sandworm_technical_headcount_share = 0.2 to 0.6 sandworm_technical_headcount = sandworm_technical_headcount_share * sandworm_headcount triton_technical_headcount = sandworm_technical_headcount * (0.2 to 0.8)
//2015 and 2015 grid attacks calendar_time = 31/12 // years total_headcount = 10 to 50 // inc non-technical staff technical_headcount_share = 0.2 to 0.6 technical_headcount = technical_headcount_share * total_headcount time_share_on_grid_attacks = 10% to 60%
calendar_time = 0.5 to 4.5 // years technical_headcount = 20 to 50 time_share = 20% to 100% person_years_effort = time_share * technical_headcount * calendar_time
/* * Cost-effectiveness of DOE funding based on case studies of Enhanced Geothermal Systems (EGS) and Fracking */ // ===== EGS Model 1 ===== @name("EGS Model 1 Inputs") egs1_inputs = { @name("Impact of 300GW EGS by 2050 (GT averted)") @doc("Estimated gigatonnes of CO2 averted in a scenario with 300GW EGS deployment by 2050") impact_300gw = normal(5, 1.24)
/* Generated by Squiggle AI. Workflow ID: 185fde35-2068-4fa9-b73a-731e9448934b */ import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest // AI for Epistemics in Longtermism - Value Estimation Model // This model evaluates 10 AI applications for improving epistemics in longtermism @name("AI for Epistemics Applications") @doc(
/* Generated by Squiggle AI. Workflow ID: ae912269-f78b-4ef8-ae1e-83849c4d2766 */ import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest import "hub:ozziegooen/helpers" as helpers @name("Squiggle AI Improvement Ideas") @doc( "Model estimating expected benefits of 20 ideas to improve Squiggle AI for longtermist uses." )
import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest // Model for evaluating AI improvement ideas for longtermist purposes // Provides expected benefits across multiple metrics @name("Improvement Ideas for Squiggle AI (Longtermist Focus)") @doc( "Evaluates 20 potential improvements to Squiggle AI with a focus on longtermist uses. Benefits are estimated across multiple dimensions including technical capability, usability, and longtermist impact." ) ideas = [
/* Generated by Squiggle AI. Workflow ID: 1f625b11-b531-4b9f-950f-270aa0773700 */ import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest // Model to estimate the impact of a $40k Tesla purchase on Tesla's market cap and Elon Musk's wealth @name("Market Impact Model Inputs") @doc( "Key inputs for estimating the impact of a single Tesla purchase on Tesla's market cap and Elon Musk's wealth" )
/* Generated by Squiggle AI. Workflow ID: 5d934fe2-c179-4d42-9916-e2405568071c */ import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest @name("Tesla Purchase Impact on Elon Musk's Wealth") @doc( "Calculates how much richer Elon Musk would become from a single Tesla purchase, based on his ownership stake and Tesla's profit margin" ) inputs = {
/* Trying to estimate how much AI research has happened so far */ dartmouth_attendees=10 to 12 /* Number of Dartmouth attendees */ luminaries = (4 to 5)*dartmouth_attendees start_year = 1956 /* Darthmouth */ end_year = 2025 /* now*/ domain = [start_year, end_year] growth_rate=1.1 to 1.15 export ai_researchers(t)={luminaries*growth_rate^(normal(t-start_year, (t-start_year+1)/1000))}
// Model to estimate the cost of patching security vulnerabilities in open-source software // using advanced AI systems for the internet backbone infrastructure @name("Input Parameters") @doc("Key assumptions and parameters for the model") inputs = { @name("Number of Critical Codebases") @doc( "Estimated number of critical security-relevant codebases that form the backbone of internet infrastructure" )