/*
Generated by Squiggle AI. Workflow ID: 19eea108-dd5d-4e0d-92a7-6d8c2b8fd3a3
*/
import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest

@name("Vitamin D Supplementation Model")
inputs = {
  @name("Probability of Vitamin D deficiency without testing")
  @doc(
    "Given seasonal depression and poor mood on gloomy days, there's a higher chance of deficiency than general population. This is highly uncertain and varies significantly based on:

/*
Generated by Squiggle AI. Workflow ID: 0441c483-ba41-442e-aa4a-380a75d7a71b
*/
import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest

@doc(
  "A model to estimate when HotA will release their next castle after Cove and Factory"
)
inputs = {
  @name("🏰 Release year of Cove")

/*
Generated by Squiggle AI. Workflow ID: 5f59477a-f6e2-42d5-b05f-86af545e1d99
*/
// Model estimating yearly probabilities of earthquakes of different magnitudes in Batumi, Georgia
// Based on historical data and geological context from 1900-2024

import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest

// == Model Parameters ==
inputs = {

/*
Generated by Squiggle AI. Workflow ID: 9df73d49-59d1-4f10-b70e-f933f6af6ec6
*/
import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest

@doc("Model of potential outcomes for Armenia in 2025")
inputs = {
  @name("Likelihood of Continued Hostilities (%)")
  @format(".0%")
  @doc(

/*
Generated by Squiggle AI. Workflow ID: e2bea2a9-a651-438c-bb2f-69035d416d39
*/
import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest

@hide
test = sTest.test
@hide
describe = sTest.describe
@hide

/*
Generated by Squiggle AI. Workflow ID: da1ec082-169c-46bd-8789-fe1965af9e4b
*/
import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest

@name("Flu Transmission Model")
inputs = {
  @name("Contact Duration (days)")
  @doc(
    "Time spent in close indoor contact. This is a fixed input but could vary significantly based on circumstances."

/*
 * via https://twitter.com/AISafetyMemes/status/1729892336782524676
 * TODO:
 * - represent distributions as beta distributions or truncate tp [0,1]
 * - links to sources with docstrings
 * 
 * Other implementations:
 * - https://aiopinions.org/questions/what-are-the-chances-that-ai-will-cause-human-extinction
 */

/*
Will rapamycin improve my longevity*/

a = normal(2, 5)

/*
Generated by Squiggle AI. Workflow ID: dfc3df26-de41-4e45-91c3-7bb7667145d5
*/
import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest

// Model for comparing meteor strike vs Mars colonization timelines
@name("Model Inputs")
inputs = {
  @name("🌍 Annual probability of catastrophic meteor strike")
  @doc(

/*
Generated by Squiggle AI. Workflow ID: 8c7da805-0247-4b4c-a091-122420e2687d
*/
import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest

// Model for S&P 500 year-on-year returns, accounting for various market conditions
@name("S&P 500 Returns Model")
returns = {
  @name("Real Returns (excluding inflation)")
  @doc(

/*
Describe your code here
*/

a = normal(2, 5)

/*
Describe your code here
*/

a = normal(2, 5)

//
// Base parameters for AI X-risk
//
baseAIXRisk = 0.2 to 0.4
// Current estimated X-risk from AI over the next 20 years

//
// 1. DIRECT RISK REDUCTION COMPANIES
//
directRiskParams = {

/*
Describe your code here
*/

cooksAtHomePerWeek = 2 to 4
cooksFromRecipe = .3 to .5
numRecipesUsedPerMonth = 4 * cooksAtHomePerWeek * cooksFromRecipe
twoWeekRecipes = numRecipesUsedPerMonth / 2

credits60lasts = 60 / numRecipesUsedPerMonth

import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest

// -------------------------------
// Taiwan Invasion Model
// -------------------------------
//
// This Squiggle model estimates:
// 1) The probability of a Chinese invasion of Taiwan by 2040
// 2) The conditional death toll on the Taiwanese side, if an invasion happens
// 3) The total expected death toll (probability * conditional death toll)

/*
Generated by Squiggle AI. Workflow ID: 01c2effa-20d5-4c19-b9b4-fc21689a4073
*/
import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest

@name("Alcohol Consumption Model for 30yo Male in CA")
inputs = {
  @name("Value of Life (QALY, USD)")
  @format("$,.0f")
  @doc(

/*
Describe your code here
*/

a = normal(2, 5)

/*
Generated by Squiggle AI. Workflow ID: 728a5f64-65d9-48e5-8c13-73321f1977ca
*/
// Model to estimate required Christmas tree planting in 2025 for 2035 retail demand
import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest

@name("Model Inputs")
inputs = {
  @name("US Households in 2035")
  @doc(

/*
Generated by Squiggle AI. Workflow ID: cf52e02c-30e6-455d-a408-32966ffa645e
*/
import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest

@doc(
  "Key model parameters for costs/benefits analysis of EU directive 2019/904"
)
inputs = {
  @name("Annual Plastic Bottle Production (EU)")

/*
Generated by Squiggle AI. Workflow ID: 930a5832-f765-4431-8994-ca5b4804e1a7
*/
// Cost-benefit analysis for EU Directive 2019/904 tethered bottle caps

import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest

@name("Economic Parameters")
inputs = {
  @doc(