ai-generated-examples

/*
Generated by Squiggle AI. Workflow ID: 185fde35-2068-4fa9-b73a-731e9448934b
*/
import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest

// AI for Epistemics in Longtermism - Value Estimation Model
// This model evaluates 10 AI applications for improving epistemics in longtermism

@name("AI for Epistemics Applications")
@doc(

/*
Generated by Squiggle AI. Workflow ID: ae912269-f78b-4ef8-ae1e-83849c4d2766
*/
import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest
import "hub:ozziegooen/helpers" as helpers

@name("Squiggle AI Improvement Ideas")
@doc(
  "Model estimating expected benefits of 20 ideas to improve Squiggle AI for longtermist uses."
)

import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest

// Model for evaluating AI improvement ideas for longtermist purposes
// Provides expected benefits across multiple metrics

@name("Improvement Ideas for Squiggle AI (Longtermist Focus)")
@doc(
  "Evaluates 20 potential improvements to Squiggle AI with a focus on longtermist uses. Benefits are estimated across multiple dimensions including technical capability, usability, and longtermist impact."
)
ideas = [

/*
Generated by Squiggle AI. Workflow ID: 1f625b11-b531-4b9f-950f-270aa0773700
*/
import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest

// Model to estimate the impact of a $40k Tesla purchase on Tesla's market cap and Elon Musk's wealth
@name("Market Impact Model Inputs")
@doc(
  "Key inputs for estimating the impact of a single Tesla purchase on Tesla's market cap and Elon Musk's wealth"
)

/*
Generated by Squiggle AI. Workflow ID: 5d934fe2-c179-4d42-9916-e2405568071c
*/
import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest

@name("Tesla Purchase Impact on Elon Musk's Wealth")
@doc(
  "Calculates how much richer Elon Musk would become from a single Tesla purchase, based on his ownership stake and Tesla's profit margin"
)
inputs = {

/*
Generated by Squiggle AI. Workflow ID: 01c2effa-20d5-4c19-b9b4-fc21689a4073
*/
import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest

@name("Alcohol Consumption Model for 30yo Male in CA")
inputs = {
  @name("Value of Life (QALY, USD)")
  @format("$,.0f")
  @doc(

/*
Generated by Squiggle AI. Workflow ID: cf52e02c-30e6-455d-a408-32966ffa645e
*/
import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest

@doc(
  "Key model parameters for costs/benefits analysis of EU directive 2019/904"
)
inputs = {
  @name("Annual Plastic Bottle Production (EU)")

/*
Generated by Squiggle AI. Workflow ID: 930a5832-f765-4431-8994-ca5b4804e1a7
*/
// Cost-benefit analysis for EU Directive 2019/904 tethered bottle caps

import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest

@name("Economic Parameters")
inputs = {
  @doc(

/*
Generated by Squiggle AI. Workflow ID: e17c8e2c-8aa7-43df-9e74-061b9ab5b080
*/
// EU Directive 2019/904 Cost-Benefit Analysis Model
import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest

inputs = {
  @name("🏭 Industry Implementation Costs")
  @doc(
    "Costs for machinery upgrades, new designs, and retooling per manufacturer"

/*
Generated by Squiggle AI. Workflow ID: 83619ef4-7db7-4db0-868e-a52ecacb9bc9
*/
// Cost-benefit analysis of EU Directive 2019/904 tethered caps requirement
import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest

@name("Key Parameters")
inputs = {
  @name("Industry Adaptation Costs (€)")
  @doc(

//Make a model of the future donations per year within the Effective Altruism community. Do this my making estimates of the number of major donors we'll have in the future, a distribution of how much each might donate per year, etc. 

import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest

@doc("Model of EA donation growth over time from 2024-2040")
inputs = {
  @name("Base Year Donors (2024)")
  @doc(
    "Estimated number of significant EA donors in 2024, defined as those giving >$10k/year"
  )

// Estimate the costs and benefits of smoking cigarettes, vapes, marijuana, and recreational sex, 2x/week, as a high schooler. Make sure to include at least 3 different distinct costs and benefits. Put them in a table of total EV per item.

import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest

// Cost-benefit model for different activities
@name("Activity Cost-Benefit Analysis")
activities = {
  // Base monetary values & health impacts
  @doc("Value of one quality-adjusted life year, highly uncertain")
  qalyValue = 100k to 300k

/*
Estimate the marginal costs and benefits of a regular human brushing their teeth 1 to 6 times per day. What number of times is optimal, in what situations?
*/

// Model for optimal tooth brushing frequency analysis

import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest

@name("Hours in Normal Day")
@hide

/*
If I get dark blinds for my room, it might help me sleep a bit better. Estimate the total hours I might save per year, of productivity, due to this change.
*/

import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest

@name("Blinds Impact Model")
inputs = {
  @name("Hours of sleep improvement per night (minutes)")
  @doc(

/*
Cost-effectiveness of upgrading my laptop from an M1 Macbook Pro to an M4 Macbook Pro. This would cost $2k-$3k depending on the model. It would likely be 1.4x - 2x faster. This likely wouldn't make a difference to most of my work, but it would to my coding. I spend many 10hrs/week solid coding. I think this would make me more productive, come up with interesting ways to model this.
*/

import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest

@name("Initial Model Inputs")
inputs = {
  @name("💻 Base Cost")
  @doc("Cost of upgrading to M4 MacBook Pro")

/*
Estimate the total damages done by AI enhancements, globally. First break it down into a bunch of interesting different categories. Make different models for the big / uncertain ones.
*/

import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest

// Key types of potential AI damages from near-term AI systems
@name("AI Enhancement Damages Model")
damages = {
  @name("Digital Security")

/*
What is the expected value of a 30-year old male with 1 romantic partner per year, in SF, to get the Gardasil-9 vaccine?
*/

// Model to estimate value of Gardasil-9 vaccine for 30yo male in SF
import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest

@name("Key Inputs")
inputs = {
  @name("Years of Protection")

/*
I'm not used to drinking caffeine (no caffeine tolerance), but I'm fine with the flavors. I'm a 34-yr-old man. I'm going to do work for 3 hours. I'm at Starbucks. What drinks do you recommend? Make an estimate of the expected benefit of the 5 main options. Say, coffee, tea, frappe, chai, sparkling water.*/

import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest

@name("Drink Options Impact Model")
inputs = {
  @name("Age (years)")
  age = 34

// What are the chances of the government starting a manhattan project for AGI in the next 10 years? Consider a few different pathways.

import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest

@name("AGI Manhattan Project Probability Model")
inputs = {
  @name("🌍 General AI Progress")
  @doc(
    "Estimate of how much general AI capability progress will happen in next 10 years"
  )

/*
I'm interested in the upcoming presidential election. How likely is one vote, in each of the top 10 key swing states, worth, in terms of how likely is it to change the result of the election? You'll need to take into account the electoral vote, the chance each state will be deciding, and the chance that each state will be decided by 1-2 votes.*/

import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest
import "hub:ozziegooen/helpers" as helpers

// Model for calculating impact of single vote in swing states

@doc("Key swing states with electoral votes and past margins")
swingStates = {