/* Generated by Squiggle AI. Workflow ID: 01c2effa-20d5-4c19-b9b4-fc21689a4073 */ import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest @name("Alcohol Consumption Model for 30yo Male in CA") inputs = { @name("Value of Life (QALY, USD)") @format("$,.0f") @doc(
/* Generated by Squiggle AI. Workflow ID: cf52e02c-30e6-455d-a408-32966ffa645e */ import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest @doc( "Key model parameters for costs/benefits analysis of EU directive 2019/904" ) inputs = { @name("Annual Plastic Bottle Production (EU)")
/* Generated by Squiggle AI. Workflow ID: 930a5832-f765-4431-8994-ca5b4804e1a7 */ // Cost-benefit analysis for EU Directive 2019/904 tethered bottle caps import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest @name("Economic Parameters") inputs = { @doc(
/* Generated by Squiggle AI. Workflow ID: e17c8e2c-8aa7-43df-9e74-061b9ab5b080 */ // EU Directive 2019/904 Cost-Benefit Analysis Model import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest inputs = { @name("🏭 Industry Implementation Costs") @doc( "Costs for machinery upgrades, new designs, and retooling per manufacturer"
/* Generated by Squiggle AI. Workflow ID: 83619ef4-7db7-4db0-868e-a52ecacb9bc9 */ // Cost-benefit analysis of EU Directive 2019/904 tethered caps requirement import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest @name("Key Parameters") inputs = { @name("Industry Adaptation Costs (€)") @doc(
//Make a model of the future donations per year within the Effective Altruism community. Do this my making estimates of the number of major donors we'll have in the future, a distribution of how much each might donate per year, etc. import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest @doc("Model of EA donation growth over time from 2024-2040") inputs = { @name("Base Year Donors (2024)") @doc( "Estimated number of significant EA donors in 2024, defined as those giving >$10k/year" )
// Estimate the costs and benefits of smoking cigarettes, vapes, marijuana, and recreational sex, 2x/week, as a high schooler. Make sure to include at least 3 different distinct costs and benefits. Put them in a table of total EV per item. import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest // Cost-benefit model for different activities @name("Activity Cost-Benefit Analysis") activities = { // Base monetary values & health impacts @doc("Value of one quality-adjusted life year, highly uncertain") qalyValue = 100k to 300k
/* Estimate the marginal costs and benefits of a regular human brushing their teeth 1 to 6 times per day. What number of times is optimal, in what situations? */ // Model for optimal tooth brushing frequency analysis import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest @name("Hours in Normal Day") @hide
/* If I get dark blinds for my room, it might help me sleep a bit better. Estimate the total hours I might save per year, of productivity, due to this change. */ import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest @name("Blinds Impact Model") inputs = { @name("Hours of sleep improvement per night (minutes)") @doc(
/* Cost-effectiveness of upgrading my laptop from an M1 Macbook Pro to an M4 Macbook Pro. This would cost $2k-$3k depending on the model. It would likely be 1.4x - 2x faster. This likely wouldn't make a difference to most of my work, but it would to my coding. I spend many 10hrs/week solid coding. I think this would make me more productive, come up with interesting ways to model this. */ import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest @name("Initial Model Inputs") inputs = { @name("💻 Base Cost") @doc("Cost of upgrading to M4 MacBook Pro")
/* Estimate the total damages done by AI enhancements, globally. First break it down into a bunch of interesting different categories. Make different models for the big / uncertain ones. */ import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest // Key types of potential AI damages from near-term AI systems @name("AI Enhancement Damages Model") damages = { @name("Digital Security")
/* What is the expected value of a 30-year old male with 1 romantic partner per year, in SF, to get the Gardasil-9 vaccine? */ // Model to estimate value of Gardasil-9 vaccine for 30yo male in SF import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest @name("Key Inputs") inputs = { @name("Years of Protection")
/* I'm not used to drinking caffeine (no caffeine tolerance), but I'm fine with the flavors. I'm a 34-yr-old man. I'm going to do work for 3 hours. I'm at Starbucks. What drinks do you recommend? Make an estimate of the expected benefit of the 5 main options. Say, coffee, tea, frappe, chai, sparkling water.*/ import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest @name("Drink Options Impact Model") inputs = { @name("Age (years)") age = 34
// What are the chances of the government starting a manhattan project for AGI in the next 10 years? Consider a few different pathways. import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest @name("AGI Manhattan Project Probability Model") inputs = { @name("🌍 General AI Progress") @doc( "Estimate of how much general AI capability progress will happen in next 10 years" )
/* I'm interested in the upcoming presidential election. How likely is one vote, in each of the top 10 key swing states, worth, in terms of how likely is it to change the result of the election? You'll need to take into account the electoral vote, the chance each state will be deciding, and the chance that each state will be decided by 1-2 votes.*/ import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest import "hub:ozziegooen/helpers" as helpers // Model for calculating impact of single vote in swing states @doc("Key swing states with electoral votes and past margins") swingStates = {
/* what is the cost-effectiveness of doing these to prevent animal suffering: * Advocating for clean meat * Legislation * Genetic modifications so chickens don't feel pain - Other ideas you have, maybe another 2-10 */ // Model to estimate cost-effectiveness of animal welfare interventions @name("Key Parameters")
// cost-benefit analysis of 10 people attending a cost-benefit analysis workshop for 1 hour import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest @name("Workshop Cost-Benefit Analysis") inputs = { @name("Number of attendees") @doc("Fixed at 10 people per requirements") attendees = 10
// how many pieces of pasta will be consumed at minifest conference, which has 80 attendees, over 2 hours. Make a calculator that takes in a few crucial considerations import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest @doc("Key inputs for pasta consumption model") inputs = { @name("Number of Attendees") attendees = 80 @name("Event Duration (hours)")
// how many pieces of pasta will be consumed at minifest conference, which has 80 attendees, over 2 hours. Make a calculator that takes in a few crucial considerations import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest @doc("Calculates pasta consumption at MiniFest conference") inputs = { @name("🎟️ Number of Attendees") @doc( "Base estimate is 80 attendees. Includes 10% chance of significant no-shows or walk-ins" )
// Say I can either use disposable plates+utensils, or non-disposable ones, which I'd need to wash. What is the damage to the environment by using one set of tableware, disposable vs. nondisposable? For each, estimate the expected total costs. import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest @doc( "Model comparing environmental impact and costs of disposable vs. reusable tableware over time" ) inputs = { @name("🍽️ Disposable Set Impact") disposableSetImpact = {