Models in ai-generated-examples

/*
Generated by Squiggle AI. Workflow ID: 593ecf75-b82a-47a3-b2a3-c3da65fab405
*/
import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest

@name("Over-the-counter Statins: Lives Saved Estimation")
@doc(
  "This model estimates the potential number of lives that could be saved annually by making statins available over-the-counter in the United States."
)
inputs = {

/*
Generated by Squiggle AI. Workflow ID: 185fde35-2068-4fa9-b73a-731e9448934b
*/
import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest

// AI for Epistemics in Longtermism - Value Estimation Model
// This model evaluates 10 AI applications for improving epistemics in longtermism

@name("AI for Epistemics Applications")
@doc(

/*
Generated by Squiggle AI. Workflow ID: ae912269-f78b-4ef8-ae1e-83849c4d2766
*/
import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest
import "hub:ozziegooen/helpers" as helpers

@name("Squiggle AI Improvement Ideas")
@doc(
  "Model estimating expected benefits of 20 ideas to improve Squiggle AI for longtermist uses."
)

import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest

// Model for evaluating AI improvement ideas for longtermist purposes
// Provides expected benefits across multiple metrics

@name("Improvement Ideas for Squiggle AI (Longtermist Focus)")
@doc(
  "Evaluates 20 potential improvements to Squiggle AI with a focus on longtermist uses. Benefits are estimated across multiple dimensions including technical capability, usability, and longtermist impact."
)
ideas = [

/*
Generated by Squiggle AI. Workflow ID: 1f625b11-b531-4b9f-950f-270aa0773700
*/
import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest

// Model to estimate the impact of a $40k Tesla purchase on Tesla's market cap and Elon Musk's wealth
@name("Market Impact Model Inputs")
@doc(
  "Key inputs for estimating the impact of a single Tesla purchase on Tesla's market cap and Elon Musk's wealth"
)

/*
Generated by Squiggle AI. Workflow ID: 5d934fe2-c179-4d42-9916-e2405568071c
*/
import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest

@name("Tesla Purchase Impact on Elon Musk's Wealth")
@doc(
  "Calculates how much richer Elon Musk would become from a single Tesla purchase, based on his ownership stake and Tesla's profit margin"
)
inputs = {

/*
Generated by Squiggle AI. Workflow ID: 01c2effa-20d5-4c19-b9b4-fc21689a4073
*/
import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest

@name("Alcohol Consumption Model for 30yo Male in CA")
inputs = {
  @name("Value of Life (QALY, USD)")
  @format("$,.0f")
  @doc(

/*
Generated by Squiggle AI. Workflow ID: cf52e02c-30e6-455d-a408-32966ffa645e
*/
import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest

@doc(
  "Key model parameters for costs/benefits analysis of EU directive 2019/904"
)
inputs = {
  @name("Annual Plastic Bottle Production (EU)")

/*
Generated by Squiggle AI. Workflow ID: 930a5832-f765-4431-8994-ca5b4804e1a7
*/
// Cost-benefit analysis for EU Directive 2019/904 tethered bottle caps

import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest

@name("Economic Parameters")
inputs = {
  @doc(

/*
Generated by Squiggle AI. Workflow ID: e17c8e2c-8aa7-43df-9e74-061b9ab5b080
*/
// EU Directive 2019/904 Cost-Benefit Analysis Model
import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest

inputs = {
  @name("🏭 Industry Implementation Costs")
  @doc(
    "Costs for machinery upgrades, new designs, and retooling per manufacturer"

/*
Generated by Squiggle AI. Workflow ID: 83619ef4-7db7-4db0-868e-a52ecacb9bc9
*/
// Cost-benefit analysis of EU Directive 2019/904 tethered caps requirement
import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest

@name("Key Parameters")
inputs = {
  @name("Industry Adaptation Costs (€)")
  @doc(

//Make a model of the future donations per year within the Effective Altruism community. Do this my making estimates of the number of major donors we'll have in the future, a distribution of how much each might donate per year, etc. 

import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest

@doc("Model of EA donation growth over time from 2024-2040")
inputs = {
  @name("Base Year Donors (2024)")
  @doc(
    "Estimated number of significant EA donors in 2024, defined as those giving >$10k/year"
  )

// Estimate the costs and benefits of smoking cigarettes, vapes, marijuana, and recreational sex, 2x/week, as a high schooler. Make sure to include at least 3 different distinct costs and benefits. Put them in a table of total EV per item.

import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest

// Cost-benefit model for different activities
@name("Activity Cost-Benefit Analysis")
activities = {
  // Base monetary values & health impacts
  @doc("Value of one quality-adjusted life year, highly uncertain")
  qalyValue = 100k to 300k

/*
Estimate the marginal costs and benefits of a regular human brushing their teeth 1 to 6 times per day. What number of times is optimal, in what situations?
*/

// Model for optimal tooth brushing frequency analysis

import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest

@name("Hours in Normal Day")
@hide

/*
If I get dark blinds for my room, it might help me sleep a bit better. Estimate the total hours I might save per year, of productivity, due to this change.
*/

import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest

@name("Blinds Impact Model")
inputs = {
  @name("Hours of sleep improvement per night (minutes)")
  @doc(

/*
Cost-effectiveness of upgrading my laptop from an M1 Macbook Pro to an M4 Macbook Pro. This would cost $2k-$3k depending on the model. It would likely be 1.4x - 2x faster. This likely wouldn't make a difference to most of my work, but it would to my coding. I spend many 10hrs/week solid coding. I think this would make me more productive, come up with interesting ways to model this.
*/

import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest

@name("Initial Model Inputs")
inputs = {
  @name("💻 Base Cost")
  @doc("Cost of upgrading to M4 MacBook Pro")

/*
Estimate the total damages done by AI enhancements, globally. First break it down into a bunch of interesting different categories. Make different models for the big / uncertain ones.
*/

import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest

// Key types of potential AI damages from near-term AI systems
@name("AI Enhancement Damages Model")
damages = {
  @name("Digital Security")

/*
What is the expected value of a 30-year old male with 1 romantic partner per year, in SF, to get the Gardasil-9 vaccine?
*/

// Model to estimate value of Gardasil-9 vaccine for 30yo male in SF
import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest

@name("Key Inputs")
inputs = {
  @name("Years of Protection")

/*
I'm not used to drinking caffeine (no caffeine tolerance), but I'm fine with the flavors. I'm a 34-yr-old man. I'm going to do work for 3 hours. I'm at Starbucks. What drinks do you recommend? Make an estimate of the expected benefit of the 5 main options. Say, coffee, tea, frappe, chai, sparkling water.*/

import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest

@name("Drink Options Impact Model")
inputs = {
  @name("Age (years)")
  age = 34

// What are the chances of the government starting a manhattan project for AGI in the next 10 years? Consider a few different pathways.

import "hub:ozziegooen/sTest" as sTest

@name("AGI Manhattan Project Probability Model")
inputs = {
  @name("🌍 General AI Progress")
  @doc(
    "Estimate of how much general AI capability progress will happen in next 10 years"
  )