Models by gleech

/*
  How much time did I spend on my PhD? several ways
*/

year_hours_estimate = {
  t2019 = 300 to 500 // only three months
  t2020 = 800 to 1600
  t2021 = 400 to 1000
  t2022 = 200 to 600
  t2023 = 250 to 300

/* How lucky was I?

Bristol was the best I could do.
Laurence was the ~best Bristol could do
Coauthors lifted me out of the mire 
Jan covid = top 1% of all publications ever
Masks = top 1%
Government advise = nearly no phd
Citations = top 1%

/*
    EX POST. The ex ante version should include a 50% chance of dropping out, a 10% chance of serious mental illness, a 70% chance of not publishing any notable results. Subjects other than AI would generally be >10x less knowledge value imo
*/

income = £106k
teaching = £10k

costOfTime = 2.7/12 years * $7.1m
opportunityCost = $300k to $2m
dalyCost =