Models by SauliusSimcikas

/*
Describe your code here
*/

a = normal(2, 5)

//yearly probabilities in percentage points
companyBackslides = 0.1
legislativeChangesWithoutActivistsInvolvement  = 1.5
xRisk = 1/600 //Toby Ord's probability for the next 100 years is 1/6. So for one year, it's 1/600
averageYearsBeforeImplementation = 5
commitmentIrrelevant = (companyGoesBankrupt+legislativeChangesWithoutActivistsInvolvement +xRisk)/100 

speedUp = 1/commitmentIrrelevant - averageYearsBeforeImplementation