//yearly probabilities in percentage points companyBackslides = 0.1 legislativeChangesWithoutActivistsInvolvement = 1.5 xRisk = 1/600 //Toby Ord's probability for the next 100 years is 1/6. So for one year, it's 1/600 averageYearsBeforeImplementation = 5 commitmentIrrelevant = (companyGoesBankrupt+legislativeChangesWithoutActivistsInvolvement +xRisk)/100 speedUp = 1/commitmentIrrelevant - averageYearsBeforeImplementation
