ID
Name
Cluster
Description
funder_openphil_2020$1 Open Philanthropy - 2020 (longtermism)
The marginal value of $1, from Open Philanthropy longtermism, in the year 2020
funder_openphil_2023$1 Open Philanthropy - 2023 (longtermism)
The marginal value of $1, from Open Philanthropy longtermism, in the year 2023
funder_eafund_ltff_2020$1 Long-Term Future Fund (EA Funds) - 2020
The marginal value of $1, from Long-Term Future Fund (EA Funds), in the year 2020
funder_eafund_ltff_2023$1 Long-Term Future Fund (EA Funds) - 2023
The marginal value of $1, from Long-Term Future Fund (EA Funds), in the year 2023
funder_eafund_animal_welfare_2020$1 Animal Fund (EA Funds) - 2020
The marginal value of $1, from Long-Term Future Fund (EA Funds), in the year 2020
funder_eafund_animal_welfare_2023$1 Animal Fund (EA Funds) - 2023
The marginal value of $1, from Long-Term Future Fund (EA Funds), in the year 2023
funder_eafund_ea_infrastructure_2020$1 EA Infrastructure Fund (EA Funds) - 2020
The marginal value of $1, from EA Infrastructure Fund (EA Funds), in the year 2020
funder_eafund_ea_infrastructure_2023$1 EA Infrastructure Fund (EA Funds) - 2023
The marginal value of $1, from EA Infrastructure Fund (EA Funds), in the year 2023
funder_eafund_globalhealth_2020$1 Global Health and Development (EA Funds) - 2020
The marginal value of $1, from Global Health and Development (EA Funds), in the year 2020. Consider flow-though impacts, like longtermist benefits.
funder_eafund_globalhealth_2020_direct$1 Global Health and Development (EA Funds) (Direct Impacts) - 2020
The marginal value of $1, from Global Health and Development (EA Funds), in the year 2020. Only consider direct impacts.
macrovariable_microdoom1 Microdoom
+1/1 Mil chance of human extinction, via one risk event. For example, reducing the risk of a certain Nuclear catastrophe.
macrovariable_microtopia1 Microtopia
+1/1 Mil chance of a positive (expected) AGI outcome. If it's assumed that this will decrease our future chance of many risks, then this might be expected to dramatically decreate human extinction. This might be expected to be very positive for humanity.
macrovariable_universal_microtopia1 Universal Microtopia
One microtopia, assuming that we will be able to have full control over the universe. For example, we assume that aliens will not be an issue.
macrovariable_microhell1 Microhell
+1/1 Mil chance of a continuously negative-EV long-term outcome. This might look like many beings, on average, being tortured for 10^n years.
macrovariable_universal_microhell1 Universal Microhell
One microhell, assuming that we will be able to have full control over the universe. For example, we assume that aliens will not be an issue.
sentientWelfare_human_qalyHuman QALY
1 Quality Average Life Year of a Human
sentientWelfare_human_lifeHuman Life
1 Year of Life of a Human
sentientWelfare_cow_qalyCow QALY
1 Quality Average Life Year of a Cow
sentientWelfare_cow_lifeCow Life
1 Year of Life of a Cow
sentientWelfare_cow_farmed_lifeCow Farmed Life
1 Year of Life of a Cow raised for food. It's assumed it's a factory farm or similar.
sentientWelfare_cow_farmed_animal_cal_100Cow 100 Cal of Food
100 calories of Cow meat. It's assumed the animal was raised for food.
sentientWelfare_cow_farmed_animal_lb_1Cow 1lb Meat
1 pound of Cow meat. It's assumed the animal was raised for food.
sentientWelfare_pig_qalyPig QALY
1 Quality Average Life Year of a Pig
sentientWelfare_pig_lifePig Life
1 Year of Life of a Pig
sentientWelfare_pig_farmed_lifePig Farmed Life
1 Year of Life of a Pig raised for food. It's assumed it's a factory farm or similar.
sentientWelfare_pig_farmed_animal_cal_100Pig 100 Cal of Food
100 calories of Pig meat. It's assumed the animal was raised for food.
sentientWelfare_pig_farmed_animal_lb_1Pig 1lb Meat
1 pound of Pig meat. It's assumed the animal was raised for food.
sentientWelfare_chicken_qalyChicken QALY
1 Quality Average Life Year of a Chicken
sentientWelfare_chicken_lifeChicken Life
1 Year of Life of a Chicken
sentientWelfare_chicken_farmed_lifeChicken Farmed Life
1 Year of Life of a Chicken raised for food. It's assumed it's a factory farm or similar.
sentientWelfare_chicken_farmed_animal_cal_100Chicken 100 Cal of Food
100 calories of Chicken meat. It's assumed the animal was raised for food.
sentientWelfare_chicken_farmed_animal_lb_1Chicken 1lb Meat
1 pound of Chicken meat. It's assumed the animal was raised for food.
sentientWelfare_turkey_qalyTurkey QALY
1 Quality Average Life Year of a Turkey
sentientWelfare_turkey_lifeTurkey Life
1 Year of Life of a Turkey
sentientWelfare_turkey_farmed_lifeTurkey Farmed Life
1 Year of Life of a Turkey raised for food. It's assumed it's a factory farm or similar.
sentientWelfare_turkey_farmed_animal_cal_100Turkey 100 Cal of Food
100 calories of Turkey meat. It's assumed the animal was raised for food.
sentientWelfare_turkey_farmed_animal_lb_1Turkey 1lb Meat
1 pound of Turkey meat. It's assumed the animal was raised for food.
sentientWelfare_salmon_qalySalmon QALY
1 Quality Average Life Year of a Salmon
sentientWelfare_salmon_lifeSalmon Life
1 Year of Life of a Salmon
sentientWelfare_salmon_farmed_lifeSalmon Farmed Life
1 Year of Life of a Salmon raised for food. It's assumed it's a factory farm or similar.
sentientWelfare_salmon_farmed_animal_cal_100Salmon 100 Cal of Food
100 calories of Salmon meat. It's assumed the animal was raised for food.
sentientWelfare_salmon_farmed_animal_lb_1Salmon 1lb Meat
1 pound of Salmon meat. It's assumed the animal was raised for food.
sentientWelfare_shrimp_qalyShrimp QALY
1 Quality Average Life Year of a Shrimp
sentientWelfare_shrimp_lifeShrimp Life
1 Year of Life of a Shrimp
sentientWelfare_shrimp_farmed_lifeShrimp Farmed Life
1 Year of Life of a Shrimp raised for food. It's assumed it's a factory farm or similar.
sentientWelfare_shrimp_farmed_animal_cal_100Shrimp 100 Cal of Food
100 calories of Shrimp meat. It's assumed the animal was raised for food.
sentientWelfare_shrimp_farmed_animal_lb_1Shrimp 1lb Meat
1 pound of Shrimp meat. It's assumed the animal was raised for food.
quri_papers_1External Evaluation of the EA Wiki
quri_papers_2Flimsy Pet Theories, Enormous Initiatives
quri_papers_3Simple comparison polling to create utility functions
quri_papers_4Prioritization Research for Advancing Wisdom and Intelligence
quri_papers_5Shallow evaluations of longtermist organizations
quri_papers_62018-2019 Long Term Future Fund Grantees: How did they do?
quri_papers_7Introducing Metaforecasting: A Forecast Aggregator and Search Tool
quri_papers_8Big List of Cause Candidates
quri_papers_9Multivariate estimation & the Squiggly language
quri_papers_10Amplifying generalist research via forecasting – results from a preliminary exploration Part 2
quri_papers_11Introducing http://foretold.io/: A New Open-Source Prediction Registry
quri_papers_12Conversation on forecasting with Vaniver and Ozzie Gooen
quri_papers_13Prediction-Augmented Evaluation Systems
quri_papers_14Five steps for quantifying speculative interventions
quri_papers_15Valuing research works by eliciting comparisons from EA researchers
quri_metaforecastMetaforecast
quri_metaforecast_twitterMetaforecast Twitter Bot
quri_squiggleSquiggle
quri_foretoldForetold.io
quri_homepageQuantifiedUncertainty.org
quri_utility_extractorUtility Function Extractor
quri_ai_safety_papersAI Safety Papers
quri_kenKen
quri_guesstimateGuesstimate
