takeoff-modeling-stuff

alg_efficiency_multipliers_for_5k = lognormal(-4.6, 1) + 1
alg_efficiency_multipliers_for_2k = lognormal(-6.4, 1.7) + 1
experiment_design_default_weeks = lognormal(2.22e-16, 1.4)
software_design_default_weeks = lognormal(.3, 1)
software_programming_default_weeks = lognormal(1, 1)
runtime_default_weeks = lognormal({p5: 1, p95: 20})
experiment_analysis_default_weeks = lognormal(.5, 1)
overall_aes = 1.015 ^ 5000
first_year = 1.015 ^ 60
overall_aes_2k = 1.02 ^ 2000