Models in relative-value-experimentation

/*
  Very early/hacky estimates of the value of funding from different EA funders at different times.
*/

// Key input assumptions. Should be privided from other modules. This code is meant to be used in a larger codebase.
inputs = {
  microtopia_value: 10B to 100T,
  cow_life_value: 0.1 to 0.5,
  human_life_value: 1,
  longtermist_value_from_animal_and_welfare_funding: 0.001 to 0.01,

/*
Very quick estimates of the QALYs that animals & humans have. All in units of human QALYs
*/

//Sentient Welfare


qalys_in_farming_per_year = mx(-(0.2 to 100), 0.01 to 0.5, [0.7, 0.3])
lifespan_when_in_factory_farm = 0.3 to 0.6 // This probably changes per animal, this is obviously an approximation
cow_qalys_per_human = 0.1 to 0.6 // Approximated, from data from Rethink Priorities

// import from the old Relative Values UI, I didn't write this code -- berekuk

//Trying having one file here, to see if that makes editing easier. Will later move this around with some script or similar.
animalModule = {
  //Sentient Welfare
  average_qaly_per_year = 0.7 to 0.9
  qalys_in_farming_per_year = mx(-(0.2 to 100), 0.01 to 0.5, [0.7, 0.3])
  lifespan_in_farming = 0.3 to 0.6
  cow_qalys_per_human = 0.1 to 0.6
  human_params = ["qaly", "life"]

/*
https://github.com/quantified-uncertainty/squiggle-models/blob/master/quri-project-comparison/quri-comparisons.squiggle
*/

blog_post_to_software = Sym.lognormal({p5:0.1, p95:100})
items = {
  quri_papers_1: {
    name: "External Evaluation of the EA Wiki",
    id: "quri_papers_1",
    value: mx(1),